OVERVIEW: Celgene managed to nearly double its sales during the third quarter and entered the S&P 500 index in November. It offered 20 million shares at $51.60 a piece after its moved to the index.
December brought several executive changes, including the addition of David W. Gryska as chief financial officer to fill the position vacated by now President and Chief Operating Officer Robert J. Hugin. Thomas O. Daniel was named president of Celgene research.
The company bought a pharmaceutical ingredient plant from Switzerland-based Siegfried Ltd. for $46.5 million and said it plans on using the facility to make its multiple myeloma anemia treatment Revlimid. The year ended with Celgene facing a patent dispute by Barr Pharmaceuticals Inc., which plans to make a generic version of the drug Thalomid, which has been a key revenue driver.
BY THE NUMBERS: Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expect a fourth-quarter profit of 18 cents per share on revenue of $268.4 million.
The company did not issue guidance for the fourth quarter, but expects full-year earnings of 57 cents per share on revenue of $890 million, while analysts polled by Thomson Financial are looking for earnings of 53 cents per share on $891.9 million.
Celgene is predicting Thalomid sales between $425 million and $430 million for the full year, and annual Revlimid sales of $315 million to $320 million.
ANALYST TAKE: Analysts again expect strong sales of Thalomid and Revlimid to drive profit, while brushing off the patent dispute, with many saying Celgene has strong protection and the case could take several years.
"As expected, Celgene filed suit against Barr Labs to block the introduction of a generic Thalomid," said Merrill Lynch analyst Tom McGahren. "The suit triggers an injunction for 30 months or until a court decision (whichever is sooner) and we expect no impact other than legal fees for several years at least."
McGahren said the previous guidance for Thalomid and Revlimid reduces any surprise factor and expects the figures to fall within Celgene's estimates.
JP Morgan analyst Geoffrey Meacham also expects the company to meet Wall Street estimates for the fourth-quarter and full-year. He and other analysts are more focused on the company's 2007 outlook, which it has set just below Wall Street expectations. That guidance, he said, reflects uncertainty around Revlimid's European approval and launch and the early nature of its U.S. launch.
"We view the guidance as setting a low bar for Celgene, where upward revisions to guidance throughout the year would not surprise us," he said.
WHAT'S AHEAD: The company is anticipating European approval for Revlimid by the end of the first quarter. Additionally, interim data from a Phase II clinical trial testing Revlimid's effectiveness against new diagnosed multiple myeloma could be released during the first half of the year.
STOCK PERFORMANCE: Shares of Celgene jumped 33 percent during the quarter. The stock reached a 52-week high of $60.12 on Dec. 19 before falling back. The stock finished Tuesday at $54.25 on the Nasdaq, down 5.7 percent since the start of the year.

